I'd say 99.9% of the time what a forecast model depicts over 7 days out will NOT come to fruition. It's like clockwork. Now, every now and then a solution will verify, but a broken clock is right twice a day! I've just never been a fan of posting anything beyond the range of reasonable accuracy (3-4 days out). Even with the advanced level of technology we have, we STILL can't nail down what's going to happen precisely a week out.
Notice the development of that off-shore low. That is really needed to help marry the precip to the cold air. And I liked that track for a few inches of snow throughout our backyards. Now? Very progressive the main storm passes over NE PA which puts us on the south side of the storm, VERY similar to what we literally just got done with.
Models LOVE to paint snow on the back end of these things but rarely comes to fruition. Climatologically speaking, it's darn near impossible. It happens, but as the cold air rushes in, it usually dries up the moisture behind the storm leaving us with nothing. Now, if there was an established off-shore low, then it would be a different story... but I don't see that window. At least not right now.
As I've noted many times over, I look for consistency. Right now, the consistency leans towards a do-nothing event for us. Could that change over the weekend? Yes. Our weather changes on a dime sometimes, I'm just saying I don't see it coming together with looking at what's in front of me.
And what It may look like at the surface:
It won't last long... a couple to a few days and then we should level out to around normal for awhile. I've seen posts from people saying they're disappointed. Hold the brakes. It's early NOVEMBER! Winter is 6 weeks away!!! PLENTY of time to get snow. Let's enjoy the moment while we can - PS, historically speaking when we get our first snow in November, it doesn't bode well for the rest of the Winter. So let's hold our horses!