JUST THE FACTS - SUMMARY
And what they should look like at 2PM
Clouds move in and become more numerous but if this model is correct, it isn't enough to stop strong storms later on. I know it doesn't sound quite right - but more sunshine = more bad weather in these types of situations.
And just a few hours later...
Disclaimer... not everyone will get rained on at the same time and some of you could completely miss out on storms... it's just how it works this time of the year. Inevitably I'll get the questions "what about MY town"... and with all due respect, I simply can't devote that much time to giving specifics in a situation like this because for the most part we won't know who's getting what until just before it's happening. The best I can do is give a blanket statement: Best chance of severe weather will be Camden, Gloucester, Salem, Western Atlantic, Burlington and Western Ocean counties. Your chances of seeing strong storms fizzles quite a bit towards the coast as a more stable environment exists there.
The Storm Prediction Center puts out their forecast daily. I seldom agree with it because it CHANGES SO MUCH. Yesterday we were in a "marginal risk" today we are in a "slight risk". I explained last night that regardless of what the map says...there WILL be severe weather around our area tonight. I like showing the map - but it's arbitrary. Severe storms can occur outside the lines. In yellow is where we have the best chance of seeing scattered strong storms though, and I DO happen to agree with this particular map.
As the front passes through, we will see COOLER air... but only slightly. Middle 80s. Humidity will remain pretty high. Unsettled weather with shower and storm chances could continue through Saturday if the front doesn't move far enough away from the coast. Stay tuned and be safe out there!